Solutions to Wuhan Virus Pandemic

"Priority should be given to the detection and protection of vulnerable patients and health care workers ." https://apps.who.int/iris/bitstream/handle/10665/331509/WHO-COVID-19-lab_testing-2020.1-eng.pdf  https://apps.who.int/iris/bitstream/handle/10665/331509/WHO-COVID-19-lab_testing-2020.1-eng.pdf UK didn't obey this guideline, stupidly, indeed, until yesterday, 29 March 2020. This report is dated 22 March 2020. Although I agree that health care workers is the utmost priority for testing, vulnerable patients are not. Their chances of survival is low anyway. If testing is so limited, better reserve it to those that need them the most for survival or those that are most likely to spread the disease, i.e. the younger people. What is missing is the strategy to preserve the economy by testing productive and essential workers so that they are exempted from lockdown or quarantine. The antibody test is an example. Also the role of rapid testing that is les...

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/COVID-19_testing A lot of interesting articles on Covid-19 testings. We should not worry that the world will end because testing will reduce the lockdown and quarantine costs once these tests are fully produced. We have the weapon so now we need to produce them in large numbers. Which is more important? Testing or Respirators? My opinion is testing because it will stop lockdown and quarantine thus saving our economy. It will also stop the spread and therefore lesson the need for respirators. Unfortunately, not many factories can produce testers, so we should convert as many factories to producing test kits, and the rest to respirators.

TO WEAR OR NOT TO WEAR Every expert opinion you’ve heard about wearing masks is right March 28, 2020 By Michael J. Coren Climate reporter Should you wear a mask to stop the coronavirus? It’s a fraught question. Depending on where you live, the act risks social censure , accusations of selfishness, and perhaps the infection itself. No one wants to say they don’t know. Asking eight health authorities will elicit eight different answers . A brief review of health agencies’ recommendations for the coronavirus from around the world adds to the confusion. In China, the government has told almost everyone to wear disposable masks ( and sometimes mandated it ). In Japan and Hong Kong, anyone entering crowded places are asked to don them. In the West, the message is the opposite. Germany’s Federal Ministry of Health warns mask wearers risk lulling themselves into a “false sense of security.” American’s top health official, battling a catastrophic shortage of...

The problem with tests is that they were not supposed to be accurate. I don't really understand this. They only need a positive or negative result, so why need to be accurate? The correct term should be sensitivity. The tests are only sensitive to a certain concentration of virus. Some tests are more sensitive compared to others so can give a positive result earlier. The less sensitive tests can't. It is not that they are useless, it is just that it needs to wait longer. Even the most sensitive test that we have can only give 80% accuracy, which means that it is still possible to completely miss a recently infected person. The best way is still to do multiple tests at a certain interval depending on the incubation period of the virus. The most sensitive can give confidence for a longer period compared to a less sensitive tester. That is all. So you can still use rapid tests, but need to test daily for example. So never abandon rapid testing.

He explains about the importance of mask and airborne method of transmission as evidenced by the church infections. The quarantine procedure in Korea is the best in the world, because it is not too expensive and burdensome to people. China is the best but Korea is second. However, China is too cruel. Taiwan could be even better because it managed to avoid the infection but we can learn little from Taiwan as the rest of the world were already infected. Taiwan avoided the mass sporadic infection.

Not wearing masks to protect against coronavirus is a ‘big mistake,’ top Chinese scientist says By Jon Cohen Mar. 27, 2020 , 6:15 PM Science ’s COVID-19 reporting is supported by the Pulitzer Center. SIGN UP FOR OUR DAILY NEWSLETTER Get more great content like this delivered right to you! Chinese scientists at the front of that country’s outbreak of coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) have not been particularly accessible to foreign media. Many have been overwhelmed trying to understand their epidemic and combat it, and responding to media requests, especially from journalists outside of China, has not been a top priority. Science has tried to interview George Gao, director-general of the Chinese Center for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC), for 2 months. Last week he responded. Related The new coronavirus is ...

People are not panicking because doctors are completely wrong in giving fatality figures. Under estimating the fatality rates by thousands. The figure in S Korea, which I got is that 0.1% for young people below 30 years old. The data isn't accurate because only one death. Not sure if he smokes or not, but I assume he doesn't. The fatality for seasonal flu is 0.1%, but this is average, where most deaths, I use 90% figure first until I get the full data, occur, so young people' s fatality is only 0.01%. Ah, you may be happy that it is only 10 times, not 100 times, but this is not the whole story. That 0.01% is not for all young people, but for Covid19, it is for all, in just a month, if no precautions are taken. Even with half efforts, such as leaky, frequently broken self-quarantine, like in Malaysia, it is only delayed to 3 months. The figure should be adjusted to 40 times, not 10, based on the Chinese data of 0.4% fatality rate for those in the 10-40 year ...

Based on this article we can say that it should be around 10%, i.e. 1 in 10, not 1 in 1000. But this is for the whole year, and for every ages. We are only interested in the chance of getting flu in 1 month, for 18-40 year olds, in order to compare with Covid-19. 18 - 40 years make up half of the population so the chance of getting flu is only 5% or 1 in 20. But the time taken is only 1 month, which is only 1/12 of the year. To simplify matters, the chance of getting flu in one month is taken as 1 in 10, so the total chance of getting flu in one month is 1 in 200. For Covid 19, it is 100% or 1. It is a certainty that you will get it if you don't take any precaution at all, like what you are doing with flu, except that for flu, many people can take the vaccine, and a lot of people have built-in immunity. https://www.quora.com/What-are-the-odds-of-getting-the-flu-if-you-dont-get-the-vaccine Omar Stradella , works at Genzyme Answered Apr 23, 2019 ...

Among children, there is approximately one death in every 10,000 cases. Flu= 0.01%  10 through 40 who get the coronavirus, about four out of 1,000 patients die. Covi19=0.4% The data for Covid is from China which more reliable than Korea because it has more samples. Actually in Korea it was 0.2%, with 2 deaths. So Covid19 is 40 times worse than Flu https://www.businessinsider.my/coronavirus-compared-to-flu-mortality-rates-2020-3?r=US&IR=T The flu and the new coronavirus have similar symptoms, but the coronavirus is far more deadly — here’s how the two compare Business Insider March 4, 2020 Medical staff with protective clothing work inside a ward specialized in receiving any person who may have been infected with coronavirus, at the Rajiv Ghandhi Government General hospital in Chennai, India, on January 29, 2020. P. Ravikumar/Reuters The flu and th...

Coronavirus: 17-year-old dies of Covid-19 in Louisiana It is unknown whether the teenager had any underlying health conditions Oliver O'Connell New York 2 days ago The Louisiana Department of Health has reported that a 17-year-old from New Orleans has died of coronavirus , the youngest fatality from the virus in the state. The teenager is one of 18 deaths announced in the state on Wednesday, bringing the total to 83. ...

The teen’s death comes amid a wave of reports about young victims suffering deadly symptoms from Covid-19, defying previous assumptions that the novel virus was only fatal for some older patients and people with severe underlying conditions. Another teen in Louisiana was reported to have passed away this after contracting the coronavirus, as well as a 21-year-old woman in the UK who also had no underlying health issues. Coronavirus: Teenage boy whose death was linked to COVID-19 turned away from urgent care for not having insurance Mayor confirms teenager’s death with heart-breaking statement: ‘The Friday before he died, he was healthy ... By Wednesday, he was dead’ Chris Riotta New York @chrisriotta 1 day ago 162 comments ...

Coronavirus: Death of teenager, who had 'just a cough', shakes France Published Mar 27, 2020, 10:16 pm SGT Facebook Twitter PARIS (AFP) - A week ago, 16-year-old Julie came down with a slight cough. On Wednesday (March 25), she became France's youngest Covid-19 fatality, shaking a nation hit by a spiralling health crisis . "We'll never know why," the girl's mother, Sabine, said late on Thursday after France's national health director gave the latest grim toll from the outbreak , now at nearly 1,700 deaths. For many people, the high school student's death brought home what experts have warned - the new virus is not a threat only to the elderly or people with underlying medical problems. "She had just a cough" that anyone might get as winter winds down, Julie's mother said. Initially, they treated it with cough syrup and steam inhalation treatments. By last Saturday, howev...

Fatality is 2-3% in S Korean currently. Their hospitals are not overwhelmed yet. Younger than 40 years old, 0.1%, but these are hospitalised also, but those who smoke will die no matter how young they are. Listen to 11:40. Based on the Church experience, aerosol transmission is possible in enclosed spaces, such as the Churches and therefore shopping malls. Listen to 18:20. Masks are very effective, but S. Koreans wear N95 masks so are much more effective. However, 3-ply masks are still better than no mask at all. All incoming people will be tested and self-quarantined monitored with apps.

A lot of idiots such as Donald Trump, and most journalists always contribute to the hotness of summer as the reason for the less transmissivity of flu or any virus. https://www.marketwatch.com/story/trump-believes-coronavirus-will-vanish-with-april-temps-experts-are-skeptical-warm-weather-alone-is-enough-2020-03-12 These are just ridiculous because it also occurs in Singapore and Malaysia. During the SARS period, Malaysia and Indonesia was least affected so the conclusion was that it was due to the hot weather but Singapore is also hot. The difference between Singapore and Malaysia in those days was the lack of shopping malls and hospitals that were air-conditioned. So it is not the hotness because to kill any virus you need temperatures close to 100 degree Celsius. But warm water, above 60 degree, which is the temperature inside our car under the sun can kill virus as well. So it is the idiots also who said that warm water cannot kill virus. Of course, hot weather and UV li...

For those who still believe that UV or sunlight cannot kill virus, please read this article. "However, the widespread use of germicidal ultraviolet light in public settings has been very limited because conventional UVC light sources are a human health hazard, being both carcinogenic and cataractogenic11,12." Sunlight and normal UV sources are far stronger than this research article so are more effective. This article only introduces a less effective, far-UV but still enough to inactivate viruses. To be safe, use sunlight and UV sources, although it will cause cancer and cataract if exposed for too long. For short durations, should be ok, but useful for clothes and other objects.   Please note that HEPA cannot stop virus so HEPA filters in aeroplanes are useless if they don't fit UV light sources. https://www.nature.com/articles/s41598-018-21058-w https://www.kron4.com/wp-content/uploads/sites/11/2020/03/UVC-Light-...