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Showing posts from December, 2020

Malaysia Should just Accept UK and US Decisions on Vaccine to save lives

The key words here are, "not certified to prevent the spread of the disease". Why not? Too expensive and time consuming. We start by preventing deaths. We use the vaccination data to get some information about the effectiveness or side effects of the vaccine. We still do not the full data on the effectiveness of both of these vacvines. 2 months of monitoring is still too short to get better accuracy, compared to the full 6 months, but safety is already assured, which is far more important. Side effects may appear as more people get vaccinated but the chance is already low in the 2 months of monitoring. Even if there are side effects, a long as they do not kill, it should be good data for more research. Which is why doctors who are exposed to Covid should get the vaccine first. They know how to diagnose themselves and make emergency treatments in case of any side effects. What it means is, that more warnings and conditions can be put for those wanting to take the vaccine. As t...

Thorough Explanation of Vaccines

The Atlantic: Paging Dr. Hamblin: I Don’t See the Upside of a Flu Shot. https://www.theatlantic.com/health/archive/2020/10/young-invincible-flu-vaccine/616794/?utm_source=feed The Atlantic: Paging Dr. Hamblin: I Don’t See the Upside of a Flu Shot.https://www.theatlantic.com/health/archive/2020/10/young-invincible-flu-vaccine/616794/?utm_source=feed

The real problems are the Academics

 And instead of putting generals in positions of power, we’ve deferred to academics by and large. And I actually think this is a major mistake because academics are not trained to make decisions with the best knowledge available at the time. They’re trained to make decisions based on  Nature  papers they read ten years ago. They’re not trained to adapt to the environment, to the ecosystem. They want academic precision, they want p-values and statistical significance. And that’s really different from a general in an army. They have to get comfortable like a surgeon does with working on imperfect information, and academics don’t do that. The fact that we’re still squabbling over antigen tests and trying to figure out, well, what if it doesn’t catch somebody with a CT value of, of 32, but it does somebody with 30 — we are completely missing the point in all of this! If a general was making decisions, they would say, “Is this the test that catches the most infectious people? ...